His argument (that articles priced in bitcoin change their priced based on the value of a fiat currency such as USD) is valid as a qualitative judgement of bitcoin's utility as a currency, but isn't really a valid test of what is or isn't a currency.
Case in point: The Zimbabwean dollar remained a currency through its hyperinflation period, and is still considered a currency (however useless) even though it is no longer the official currency of Zimbabwe. Now that Zimbabwe officially accepts relatively stable foreign currencies, prices of goods have stabilised in that country.
The Zimbabwean dollar analogy is appropriate. Throughout its wild swings and hyperinflation, it was backed by a government. Bitcoin is backed by nothing at all.
How do you establish a new currency? Well it is easy, you take control over some area of land, by military force or by treaty with the present occupiers of it, then you declare that the people living there need to pay you taxes, then you decide what to accept those taxes in. And that's what it means for a government to "back" a currency.
Considering all of the uproar caused by the Newsweek article, if people knowing you have bitcoins puts you in danger, then I'd say it's not a currency I want anything to do with.
Yeah, if everyone knew I had £1,000,000,000.00 hidden under my mattress (and some mattress that would be), then I imagine my life might be under a little more threat than otherwise too.
Err, it is widely known, google "world's richest people". The difference is, as your sibling post pointed out, those people don't have it hidden under a mattress.
Fiat is only "backed by government" in the sense that you're forced to obtain it to pay debts and taxes. Other than that, the Fed can print more to prevent deflation and the Government can act politically to try and stem inflation. There are limits to that control.
Does Bitcoin meeting a dictionary definition of a currency (that is being a medium of exchange) really matter given his actual point (which you've clearly understood)?
Also, if your defence of Bitcoin as a currency is to compare it to the Zimbabwean Dollar (a currency ridiculed and later abandoned) then is it OK if I ever need a lawyer that I pass on you and go to the next guy? ;-)
His primary point of view is making money. If I can't figure out how to make money on something, I will dismiss it. This is likely what he is doing ATM, but not a good assumption moving forward.
I don't think he's dismissing it for all time, he's just raising a valid point about it as it stands right now.
I don't read what he's saying as anti-Bitcoin per se, he's just saying that right now the massive variability around it means that it's not really a functional currency. That's a valid view and not one he's alone in holding - most economists, hell most people, whether they're pro or anti-Bitcoin will accept that the current fluctuations are problematic when it comes to day to day use.
Whether it's a currency is a separate discussion from whether it has value.
Currencies have value based on the stability of the government, how many goods are priced in that currency, the GDP and trade balance of the country, etc. I'd guess that Buffet is confident in his ability to measure the value of a currency.
Bitcoin is not a currency. I'd bet that Buffet doesn't feel confident about measuring the value of bitcoin.
I think you may have gotten it the other way around - Buffet doesn't feel confident about measuring/guestimating the value of bitcoins, and so he doesn't consider it a currency. A while ago, i read that Buffet's investment strategy is to find companies/stock that is undervalued, and buy it. That means his mindset is that any investment must be made by first making value judgements. In the case of bitcoins, he must be judging the volatility of bitcoins is way too high, and that investing in it isn't a good return on investment.
Bitcoin is not bullion. Bitcoin is not bank notes. Bitcoin is not fiat currency. Bitcoin is something new.
In this case, when Buffett said that bitcoin is not currency, I think he specifically meant that bitcoin is not fiat currency, or any other type of currency where the method of measuring value is well understood.
The main idea behind value investing, as far as I can tell, is to buy things that are being sold for much less than their intrinsic value. If you can't determine the intrinsic value, then on what basis would you invest?
Not that bitcoin doesn't have value - it's just that for someone that practices value investing like Buffett, there's not enough information to decide to invest.
If I had 30 million British pennies it wouldn't be legal tender, because nobody is required to accept that volume by law. Does that mean my 30 million pennies aren't currency?
That is not what legal tender means. Legal tender means that the form of payment is a legally accepted option for extinguishing a debt.
If you owed someone a debt of 30,000 British pounds, you could repay that debt with the pennies, and they would have to accept it. So pennies are both a legal tender and a currency in that case.
Pennies are only legal tender for amounts not exceeding 20p
edit: Also, as the link makes clear, you don't have to accept them even below 20p. All that legal tender means is:
> that a debtor cannot successfully be sued for non-payment if he pays into court in legal tender. It does not mean that any ordinary transaction has to take place in legal tender or only within the amount denominated by the legislation
I did not realize there was a limitation on Pennies as legal tender. Good to know.
However, your second point agrees with what I was trying to say. The fact that a business does not accept change below a certain amount has nothing to do with whether a denomination is legal tender or not. Legal tender only has to do with cancelling out or paying debts.
From the child post:
>>Yup, one of the common misconceptions about money. There's also no legal requirement to give change.
This also has nothing to do with whether a coin/denomination is legal tender or not.
UK pennies are either bronze or copper plated steel. Bronze pennies are worth more than a penny, so paying someone with 30,000 pennies would give them some value of scrap metal. (If they were prepared to break any English law about destroying coin).
So is the Somali Shilling no longer a currency? People use it to engage in commerce and settle debts, but the government that issued it doesn't exist anymore.
At this point I'm reasonably sure there is not enough consensus on the interpretation of the word "currency" to make any meaningful statements about what is or is not one. And the same goes for many other words that get thrown around in these kinds of discussions.
I'm sure there are lots of people who feel that they know the "correct" definition, many with a compelling justification for its validity, but without consensus the word is little more than a rhetorical value judgement.
If people want to have meaningful discussions about new topics which fall outside the established semantic shorthands of past discussion, it generally better to avoid those words entirely.
There are lots of unambiguous claims one can make about Bitcoin, and I really wish people would talk in terms of those, instead of endlessly arguing about what names we're allowed to call it.
Case in point: The Zimbabwean dollar remained a currency through its hyperinflation period, and is still considered a currency (however useless) even though it is no longer the official currency of Zimbabwe. Now that Zimbabwe officially accepts relatively stable foreign currencies, prices of goods have stabilised in that country.