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So your point is someone made a correct prediction? On a 50/50 chance? Well, duh.


To be precise: two options doesn't imply a 50/50 chance, necessarily.

For example, if everyone thought that Google would win on 1A, and someone predicted Oracle would, and then Oracle did, then that's doing better than 50/50. (I'm not sure if that's the case.)

See also: Monty Hall problem.


parfe's judgement is clouded by his hatred of Mueller. that's the point.




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