When an AI can successfully navigate everyday human tasks without needing hand holding: change my oil, withdraw money from a buggy ATM, change a diaper, etc.
IMHO: considering the declining quality standards (and individual psychology) of Western civilization, never.
> IMHO: considering the declining quality standards (and individual psychology) of Western civilization, never.
What does that have to do with AI progress? AI, tech, etc. are all increasing continuously, getting better year after year.
What you're qualifying as AGI will require
> Human level general intelligence
> Human level embodiment of the intelligence
> A robot with human level dexterity
Which are all tech trends towards which billions of dollars are being poured and we are getting closer everyday. To think that general declining quality standards among stagnating areas in Western Civilization means "no AGI ever" is a misguided extrapolation.
> What does that have to do with AI progress? AI, tech, etc. are all increasing continuously, getting better year after year.
Who do you think is building the AI? Even more importantly, if people become overly-reliant on AI (already early hints of this happening), human competency will decline. There's a tipping point on that curve where AI plateaus indefinitely as there's no one competent enough to work on it anymore. The speed we're traveling at on that curve is far faster than progress toward an organic intelligence.
> What you're qualifying as AGI will require [...]
> Which are all tech trends towards which billions of dollars are being poured and we are getting closer everyday.
The amount of money you pour into a problem is meaningless. How it's solved (and why) is far more important. Resources !== solutions. If that heuristic were true, the world would be in a far better place.
IMHO: considering the declining quality standards (and individual psychology) of Western civilization, never.