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The origins of the Singularity notion is interesting. But I find it amusing that we could think Singularity is near (mostly) on the basis of some LLMs. Unless we can create a true AGI (It is difficult to precisely define that true Scotsman, I know.) we are no where near that singularity. Even if a true AGI is invented, I have no reason to believe that the limits of physics don't apply. Yes it will "invent" a few things quite fast, like say Schockly to M3max in a day, but then what? More importantly why? I think it will either just fizzle out due to resource limitation or kill us all to optimize the production of paperclips. Either way, I or we will never see the other side of Singularity.


Those all seem unlikely to me - never happens, fizzles, paperclips.

Probably we get AGI in a controlled way and robot servants putting us in the position with aristocrats of old with servants smarter than us.




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