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100 million users for ChatGPT plus GPT4 with plugins seems like a pretty good starting moat.


Is it though? It would be a moat for social media or something with network externalities, but Chatbot’s don’t have the strong network externalities that come when the business involves many-to-many user-user interaction patterns, or even 1-1 interaction.

Its a lead, but its not a barrier to competitors acquiring users even if they can offer better value for price outside of network size, nor is it a barrier to competitors development.


They still accumulate a large amount of data for training their future models that their competitors can't access.


That's not a moat. That's their current situation they achieved by being the first mover. But nothing is stopping someone else from doing a cheaper/better model tomorrow, next year, whenever. I'd jump ship in a few hours to a day from their Premium if something better or same-but-cheaper came out.


That’s not a moat, that’s a head start. Unless there is a network effect or good feedback from the users to improve the model, it’s not a moat.


If someone offered the same thing with better privacy for business use, I'd use it.




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