My prediction is that they’re going to take the Russian speaking portions of the country as they originally laid out. That’s effective up to the middle of the country. If Ukraine keeps fighting they may take Odessa and leave Ukraine without a sea port.
That’s something like 60-70% of Ukraine’s GDP btw. Russians have already captured 30% of Ukrainian GDP. I don’t think that’s a loss by any measure.
Wars typically last years, I don’t put much stock into 90 days of conflict. Already 20% of Ukraine is taken, most of its armaments destroyed, Russia has been targeting the west’s attempts to rearm.
For whom? I don’t think any war is good, by definition it reduces both sides ability to produce and trade (ie hurting everyone).
That said, the Russians have their objectives and clearly thought it worth while. It’s dangerous to underestimate and not understand the motivations of an enemy.
Again, you keep making claims about "most of its armaments destroyed." This is clearly not the case, instead it should be reversed and say that the Russians have lost most of their tanks... They've lost over 1000, and with 10 per BTG, that's 100 BTGs that are without their most powerful weapons.
The Russians have also used up most of the precision guided weapons and are having to resort to using unguided bombs and rockets for the majority of their attacks. With sanctions in place, they won't be able to replace these weapon stocks due to their reliance on Western electronics.
Russia didn't go into this war trying to liberate the Donbas; and if fact most of the Russian speaking citizens of Ukraine have turned against Russia. Russia wanted the entire country and failed.
And Russia will shortly have two new NATO members on its borders. That's a huge geopolitical failure. Russia has instantly strengthened and rejuvenated NATO with its invasion of Ukraine.
But you keep pushing that Russian Success Strategy. We'll see how things pan out by August.
My prediction is that they’re going to take the Russian speaking portions of the country as they originally laid out. That’s effective up to the middle of the country. If Ukraine keeps fighting they may take Odessa and leave Ukraine without a sea port.
That’s something like 60-70% of Ukraine’s GDP btw. Russians have already captured 30% of Ukrainian GDP. I don’t think that’s a loss by any measure.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Ukrainian_subdivisio...
Wars typically last years, I don’t put much stock into 90 days of conflict. Already 20% of Ukraine is taken, most of its armaments destroyed, Russia has been targeting the west’s attempts to rearm.
> all around loss (world status, material etc
Russia is making more money than ever. They’re also looking to expand BRICS with China. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-says-it-wants-expa...
> This has got to be the dumbest war ever.
For whom? I don’t think any war is good, by definition it reduces both sides ability to produce and trade (ie hurting everyone).
That said, the Russians have their objectives and clearly thought it worth while. It’s dangerous to underestimate and not understand the motivations of an enemy.