I'd argue it's not even a Bayesian error but a logic error stemming from difficu...

		Jugurtha on Oct 28, 2020 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Over 80% of Covid-19 patients in a hospital study ... I'd argue it's not even a Bayesian error but a logic error stemming from difficulty with contraposition.[0] It checks out even if you remove the probability aspect of it and use a simple implication. - [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contraposition