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Yeah I also noticed lately that the numbers collapsed after a peak on June 24th. The people being diagnosed on the 24th should have been infected just about on midsummer. And then the numbers collapsed. That matches extremely well my experience that after midsummer (June 21st) most Swedes clear out the cities, going to summer houses or abroad or, failing that, being outdoors as much as possible.

So I was "surprised" to not even see that fact be mentioned in the article and would be cautious about attributing this to the Swedish strategy. Did they make any policy changes in the days leading up to the 24th?



There is no real "collapse" in numbers, the number of hospital cases have been in a (noisy) straight line down from April and forwards: https://www.icuregswe.org/data--resultat/covid-19-i-svensk-i... (the graph with "Antal vtf" on the y-axis). Those graphs are directly from the hospital reporting systems.




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