I'd like to believe this but I've seen some really great contributors just get unlucky for 6 months or more, and then all of a sudden it's been a year and things are starting to look strange.
It's a great market for developers to get hired, but it's still possible to fall through the cracks especially if you aren't good at the specific skill of job searching.
I appreciate the thoughts, and luck does play a part but there are definitely methods to maximize your chances. I tend to find many older workers aren’t aware of how to find a job in the modern market or how to best approach companies. Job search has changed significantly in just the past few years, let alone the past decade.
It's a great market for developers to get hired, but it's still possible to fall through the cracks especially if you aren't good at the specific skill of job searching.