>>they're trying to reign it in with gloved hands before it becomes one and it turns into a big economic mess that the government will have to foot the bill to eventually clean up.
The government has no obligation to clean up anything. Claiming otherwise is just an excuse to prohibit people from investing into high-risk assets.
>>common people like your grandparents and uninformed but good hearted relatives are providing liquidity for a growing number of new millionaires and billionaires
If the common good-hearted people are too stupid to control their own money, then they should be deprived of the right to vote and other semblances of legal persohood. What you're suggesting, which is to restrict the rights of everyone, is a disproportionate and illiberal response, characteristic of Big Brother states rather than free societies.
> The government has no obligation to clean up anything.
Sure they do. It's tasked with the ongoing operation and existence of the country, which can be threatened by economic instability. For example, Albania had a civil war literally over Ponzi scheme failures. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albanian_Civil_War
> If the common good-hearted people are too stupid to control their own money, then they should be deprived of the right to vote and other semblances of legal persohood. What you're suggesting, which is to restrict the rights of everyone, is a disproportionate and illiberal response, characteristic of Big Brother states rather than free societies.
Slamming "Big Brother states" while advocating for the removal of the right to vote and legal personhood is... special.
>>For example, Albania had a civil war literally over Ponzi scheme failures.
Albania is a lawless country where people are murdered across generations in ongoing blood feuds. In such a setting, any major social crisis can trigger a civil war. The solution in Albania is not to restrict private economic exchange. It is to institute the rule of law, by consistently prosecuting crimes like homicide, so that people don't think that extra-judicial violence is an appropriate response to disputes.
There is no chance that a cryptocurrency dropping in value in the West would trigger a civil war, because the rule of law presides in the West.
You're using the violence inherent to Albanian culture, that is independent of any financial phenomenon, as an excuse for putting cryptocurrency traders in prison.
>>Slamming "Big Brother states" while advocating for the removal of the right to vote and legal personhood is... special.
Obviously the comment was not meant to be taken literally, as evident from the comment right after calling the approach "illiberal" and characterisic of police states.
My comment was meant to equate advocacy for removing the right to freely transact with advocacy for the removal of the right to vote. Both are the natural implication of the principle that the subject is too ignorant, stupid, gullible, etc to be given full agency.
Think of it this way: you want the good hearted and gullible people to not be allowed to transact without gatekeepers, but you want them to have the right to vote, without gatekeepers to protect them from demagogues? That's inconsistent.
In other words, I'm saying if you really think the typical person is so incompetent that there should be laws to prevent them from investing into assets that have not been vetted by a government agency, then you don't have enough faith in their competence to give them the right to vote.
Incidentally, the poorest households spend 9 percent of their income on lottery tickets. The fact that this is not only legal, but promoted by state-funded advertising, yet investing in securities issued by non-public companies is prohibited, shows that protecting the public is not the real motivation beyond laws against purchase of non-public securities.
> The government has no obligation to clean up anything
And yet, when millions of individual investors lose more than they can afford that's often what must happen to preserve the peace. If Bitcoin went to $100 today, at the very least we'd see a massive hit to unemployment and disability rolls.
> As big as bitcoin’s market cap is globally, it doesn’t actually appear to be causing a lot of employment
Wealth effects are real [1]. Moreover, I know at least a handful of otherwise-intelligent individuals who used their credit cards to make leveraged Bitcoin plays. At the very least, they'll face collections and potentially bankruptcy as a result of the crypto crash.
It's not clear that the number of people holding Bitcoin gains, multiplied by the wealth effect, is creating any significant impact on the global economy. Similarly, even if everyone who used credit cards to buy Bitcoin went bankrupt, that still wouldn't be that big a deal for the economy.
Right now Bitcoin lacks the kind of leverage and interconnection with other asset classes that made the real estate crash have a big impact. In that situation, for example, you had banks running 30:1 leverage on some assets, which mean that a 4% decline resulted in a total loss of equity.
I agree. I do not believe the cryptocurrency crash will foment a global economic crisis. I do believe it will create temporary hardships for many Americans, hardships which will in some form flow onto state and federal balance sheets.
When you say "many", how many do you think, and what are you basing that number on? I'm not sure the total wealth from bitcoin to Americans is material to the national economy, much less the potential negative change in that wealth.
The stats I've seen indicate that essentially nobody owns bitcoin when you compare it to other commonly forms of wealth, like homes or traditional equities.
I think one estimate was that less than 500K people - worldwide - own more than one bitcoin, approximately worth $10K. Compare that to the US housing market, where there's 100M-odd homeowners with an average value of ~$220K. Let's say there's 200K bitcoin holders in the US with a bitcoin each, so that's ~2 billion dollars in value vs say 22 trillion in home assets, very rough calc. (And yes, some of those have a lot more than one bitcoin, but some houses are worth more than $220K, and the wealth effect tends to happen breadthwise, primarily.)
Nothing "must happen". This is just a cop out to avoid letting people suffer for their own mistakes. Instead the government dumps the cost on everyone else.
If there's no bailout at the taxpayer's expense, what do you suppose will happen? Riots? Revolutions?
Nothing will happen except millions of people learning a much needed lesson.
The government has no obligation to clean up anything. Claiming otherwise is just an excuse to prohibit people from investing into high-risk assets.
>>common people like your grandparents and uninformed but good hearted relatives are providing liquidity for a growing number of new millionaires and billionaires
If the common good-hearted people are too stupid to control their own money, then they should be deprived of the right to vote and other semblances of legal persohood. What you're suggesting, which is to restrict the rights of everyone, is a disproportionate and illiberal response, characteristic of Big Brother states rather than free societies.