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AFAIK Windows 3.x flipped a bunch of Mac decisions to avoid being sued and then MS felt that they had to keep those choices forever for backwards compatibility.

And in my experience, when people moved from Windows to the Mac they're so annoyed that there are differences. When I try to explain that these were present in the Mac long before Windows, people start to understand.

LLMs should use tool calling (which is 100% reliable) instead of doing math internally. But in general it would be nice to be able to teach a process and have the AI execute it deterministically. In some sense, reliability between 99% and 100% is the worst because you still can't trust the output but the verification feels like wasted effort. Maybe code gen and execution will get us there.

This is the exact problem CognOS was built to solve.

  99% reliable means you still can't remove the human from the loop — because you never know which 1% you're in. The only way to actually trust output is to attach a verifiable confidence   
  signal to each response, not just hope the aggregate accuracy holds.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                                                            
  We built a local gateway that wraps every LLM output with a trust envelope: decision trace, risk score, and an explicit PASS/REFINE/ESCALATE/BLOCK classification. The point isn't to make 
  LLMs more accurate — it's to make their uncertainty legible so the human knows when to step in.

  Open source if you want to look at the architecture: github.com/base76-research-lab/operational-cognos

"reliability between 99% and 100% is the worst because you still can't trust the output"

No one will pay 20x today's prices. I could see free tiers basically going away, subscriptions staying the same price but with lower limits, and tokens staying the same price because that price already has margin built in. I agree that data centers will be recapitalized just like fiber backbones were in 2001.

> I agree that data centers will be recapitalized just like fiber backbones were in 2001.

It’ll be interesting to see what the equivalent breakthrough to multiplexing will be

One which makes all of those data centers and GPUs not just bargain-priced relative to their original cost, but also way more efficient than originally expected.


For AI I think we'll continue to see a series of incremental efficiency improvements like flash attention, MoEs, disaggregated prefill, etc.

Obviously not? You know enterprise customers don't have the same EULA as consumers, right?

Another way to say this is that you have to have an account recovery process and you need to think about how your encryption interacts with account recovery.


Jack Dorsey looks like a homeless person and he spends his time meditating and talking about Bitcoin. People knew what they were getting into.

> looks like a homeless person

I have heard this once in a while.. really it refers to a hair grooming aesthetic that is disallowed somehow, perhaps.

> he spends his time meditating

said like it is a bad thing. Of course yes, this is a bad thing to many people, I agree.. but among very smart people in California, if he really does that well, it is a plus actually..

> talking about Bitcoin

very polarizing, with grandstanding on both sides of the aisle, agree. However, isn't Bitcoin legal now? as in, a large scale political change in most places where readers of this page might be reading?

overall, the combination of things to point out to launch big criticisms, is more interesting than the fact of criticisms at all, at the moment


The homeless person thing was a bit of a mean way to put it, but I don't think the parent commenter meant it critically or as an insult tbh, more an observation.

Dorsey is a certain type of character. For good or bad, it's worth understanding those who you associate with or who you allow to hold authority over you so you're not surprised when they act in entirely predictable ways.


Admittedly, Dorsey is nowhere near Ellison or Musk levels of evil. Maybe he's too stupid, maybe he's not ambitious enough. Who knows. But he is an unprincipled chud with a track record that makes his contemporaries look like Einstein by comparison.

The guy's a grifter, Block spent $68 million on a single party and we're all supposed to believe that the executive leadership is blameless? I wasn't born yesterday.


It's AGI if it works. Didn't Salesforce lay off support people to replace them with AI but then the AI didn't work?

CashApp

Square is still a much, much bigger portion of the business than CashApp.

    Square’s ecosystem is expected to contribute $1.77 billion, while Cash App is expected to provide $58.3 million to transaction revenues.

There definitely is fraud in Minnesota but I agree that this isn't the way to fix it.

Sure. The executive branch uses law enforcement to find and punish it, The president doesn't get to unilaterally pull funding. Or if Trump does, it puts lie to congress making budgets, rule of law, representative democracy, checks and balances, and many other principles of US government.

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