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I can tell you where I think Dropbox is going.

I believe that the time of cloud providers like Dropbox raking in profits, whilst accepting absolutely none of the liability is coming to an end.

Right now Dropbox has tens of millions of its customers who entrust some of their most valuable personal and business files to a cloud provider who does not give them an SLA and who fails to properly insure their customers against data loss, downtime or cyber attack.

It is one of the dirtiest secrets of cloud and something nobody talks about ever. I would argue that Dropbox is an accident waiting to happen and their customers will be left holding the can. Only a matter of time I believe.


Sorry I had also meant to say that Dropbox is going to start providing a basic SLA and some form of insurance coverage for their users, they have no other choice and know that if their customers wake up to the fact that they are holding the can, there will be a huge fallout.

Expect them to get ahead of this.


I completely agree. Here's my 2 cents.

A few buddies of mine back in 2009 were joking around that Dropbox would undoubtedly launch an email service. Then they bought MailBox. Personally, I think it's only a matter of time that a entry-level bundle will become available under the guise of a free email service.

Users get free email address, and access to MailBox + 2 GB storage. The email is just bait. I think at the point the `*@dropbox.com` emails become available, they would be wise to implement at the very least a basic SLA.


Seriously though, somebody ask us a question we do not know the answer to. Why do you think I am here?


The difference being that cloud insurance will actually compensate you if the worst happens. Right now, the most an SLA will give you is service credits.

Its a problem. When things go wrong and your customers get hurt, you should be doing more than giving them more of your services for free.


Obviously like the concept but still quite skeptical. What onus would be on me as the user to show you how much it hurt my business that gmail was down for instance? Will you re-imburse me for my usual MRR I would have gained that day?


That’s a great question, its one we struggled with for months and we are still refining the details of the future offering.

The short answer is that compensation will be initially capped to a predetermined level, at least at first, because there is still so much that we cannot yet quantify properly.

The long answer is that insurance is based on the notion that we as cloud insurance providers can properly and accurately calculate the costs of certain events (data loss/downtime) happening on a group basis for a corporate consumer. But it's really hard to calculate the costs on an individual basis, so asking an individual consumer to quantify their estimated losses for the downtime/data loss they have experienced is always going to make everybody's headache, you can imagine the calls with the loss adjusters.

As cloud providers (both founders are cloud providers), we know exactly how much downtime, data loss we have suffered from historically, I consider this inside information almost, but it's not enough data.

We can also scrape the interwebs for any publicly available information on critical events occurring, we can gather as many data points as we possibly can, but ultimately it is still not enough to provide us with the risk visibility that we need to properly start calculating costs to an individual level, we need more data and lots of it.

Only when we have large pools of insured cloud consumers to measure over a period of time, will we begin to become properly informed on the true costs of downtime, data loss and cyber-attack on a group and individual basis.

Eventually, I can see cloud insurance becoming just another form of insurance like any other, the risks understood and quantified accurately on a group basis, but we still have a long way to go until we get there.

For the foreseeable future, expect capped compensation and plenty of data gathering from the emerging cloud insurance industry.

It’s a brand new field of insurance, we have yet to work everything out properly to the point where we understand it at scale, but we are making great progress and I think we have a head start on the traditional insurance industry being cloud providers and industry insiders.

I hope that I answered it to your satisfaction, I was really hoping somebody would post about us here so we could get the really hard questions we are looking for, HN is the place I come to feel stupid and if anyone asks us the hard questions, I knew it was going to be you guys.


For those interested, I post on Medium about this subject about why I think this is the most important conversation in cloud computing right now, it will provide context.

https://medium.com/@guisebule/dropbox-box-887adfa7217b


Hi there, co-founder @guisebule reporting in!

It is absolutely real and I personally believe that the lack of cloud insurance in the cloud computing world is a scandal waiting to happen. Dropbox and Box have tens of millions of customers between them, but they fail to offer a proper SLA to most of them or protect them against worst case scenarios properly by insuring against the obvious risks.

Think about that, millions of small businesses with their files in the cloud, but no protection against worst case scenarios. Its a problem guys, we are going to try and fix it.


How do you even begin to quantify the contents of somebodies personal Dropbox folder full of junk ?


You do not, you cap value at a certain point for individuals or businesses based on the number of gigs they have.


Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored.


No, but clearly people are wanting Microsoft to take the bait.. This is being backed by the Desktop as a Service providers who want to be able to deploy this.

Unlike trademarks to my knowledge there is nothing that devalues their offering by NOT suing, and instead suing other providers, at least until it gets large enough. Hell they even make money on each windows 7 license they need.

On the other hand, I really don't expect Microsoft to do this. It might take them years to bother to sue, but I see them taking it on simply because they can't turn a blind eye to piracy.


Guise Bule here !

Am just about to begin an IAmA on reddit if you fancy joining me there : http://bit.ly/redditor

Or follow my updates on twitter about this :

https://twitter.com/#!/Guise_Bule

OR go read my blog post : http://bit.ly/MicroFap


Wow, with that bitly URL for your AMA, you could launch a second career as an Internet marketing consultant.


Yeah, attention to detail is important :)


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