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Wow. This model is so good, and we have GLM 5.3 (seems great voor security related work) and Deepseek. In a few months we'll have Fable/Sol-like capabilities that are not coming from the big US companies. I feel as a programmer that that is more than enough. How wil OpenAI and Anthropic survive when frontier model intelligence becomes commoditized?


I stopped using Fable and Opus 5 because I literally can't understand the output. The waffle is so intense it no longer makes sense. I don't understand who is using those to get real work done.

I'm using kimi-k3 on a real high level dev & analysis task at the moment (with Gemini flash for fast implementation) and it is fantastic.

I think we have passed the point where frontier intelligence is commoditized.


just curious; which fable/opus versions are you using?

Fable-1m-max-thinking output, despite being incredibly slow and expensive, feels like it bucked a trend towards superficial loquaciousness in their models that had been building since 4.6.

I'm a bit of a luddite when it comes to upgrading models, fable was the first one to make me give up Opus 4.6-1M-max.


I'm just using the defaults, through Claude.ai on the web.


Curious what level of thinking you have been using as well. Found that lowering it actually gets me better results.


I'm just using the defaults.


Using it to get real work done:

* https://github.com/HarbourMasters/Shipwright/pull/7047

* https://github.com/HarbourMasters/Shipwright/pull/7070

just need to give it clear direction, guide it about how to properly use hooks / preserve decomp code, rewrite all the comments, go back & redo things when it spits out some ugly hack, ...

but this does save time, especially considering this is working with decomp code where many functions are random hex addresses


They’ll certainly try to stymie people by colluding with manufacturers until we get nvidia level hardware or LLM ASICs from the East.


The demand curve for speed and intelligence seems pretty steep to me.

If you look at the hiring marketplace, being just marginally better than your peers can be very lucrative.

If you’re competing on speed or capability as a company (or as an employee), you’re probably going to be willing to pay for the frontier.


> If you look at the hiring marketplace, being just marginally better than your peers can be very lucrative.

I would say that in software this is completely false.

Someone straight out of college, not very useful, makes 75-100K.

Top level senior outside of FAANG is making twice that at best (and at least 10x more capable).


You told on yourself about being either European or from a flyover state.


I happen to be from NJ, but you're also not going to be making a Meta/Google salary in NY outside of NYC.


Most companies have a limited budget.

Good enough with a lower price will win the masses



I found "Change Order" a pleasure craft out of Alabama.

https://www.reddit.com/r/funny/comments/sd97i4/read_dinghy_n...

It'd be awesome if there was enough metadata to link across to an AIS aggregator/map like https://www.marinetraffic.com/


I don't understand. Marine Traffic is almost identical but has the advantage for displaying the location of the boat.


Snap!


I came here to say that it's apparently not in the set.


Composer 2.5 stands out here at nr. 9. This model is fast and clever.


I would also regret it if they become that fast; right now I can really take a moment to enjoy the hard work the model is doing for me.


https://xkcd.com/303/

the evolution of this xkcd


The idea that there is much more computation (and intelligence/agency) going on in biological and other systems seems to be getting more popular. (The author writes: The whole body is a computer: it’d be wasteful for evolution to only use the brain for computation when other systems could take part too.). Michael Levin has some super interesting ideas about this.


GabeN mentions similar in a video with IGN a few years ago.

Machine brain interfaces can reliably model thought to action of using ones arm, for example.

But it cannot model "feeling". It's, as of that interview, an intractable problem to map all electrical activity in us given external stimuli. Every body "feels" a cold stimulus in a different part of their. This wasn't qualitative either; imaging technology shows activity unevenly occurs across every human body. Put an ice cube on someones hand, their left knee tissues may react. Put ice cube on another person's hand, back of their neck reacts not their left knee.

Then there are stories of people missing the majority of their brain but only learned this medically after living a normal life; going to college, holding a career together for a couple decades.

Brain-centrism was just as dumb as our other takes that attempt to demarcate a center to our center-less universe. Even just practically speaking, I know a lot of PhDs who cannot cook or rotate a tire. Where is the intelligence in letting oneself end up such a helpless, and thus codependent, tool?


I've been dealing with chronic pain in my hands, arms, and shoulders, and one of the things I've slowly been figuring out is that the pain I feel in my hand is actually coming from tight muscles in my forearm. Referred pain is weird.


There's a conversation on YouTube between Mike Johnson (whose theory is the subject of the article) and Michael Levin. Levin's work has been a huge inspiration ... for everyone working between biology, psychology, and spirituality.


> it’d be wasteful for evolution to only use the brain for computation

Even what we consciously experience as the brain is really only a tiny part of the brain.

The little language centre and the capacity to imagine are only a tiny subset of a multitude of brain functions and yet we believe that those two functions make up “me”. Actually it’s just those two functions telling a story that they are me.


One of the most cited papers of all time is Jerome Lettvin's "What the Frog's Eye Tells the Frog's Brain" (1959).

https://web.archive.org/web/20110928024235/http://jerome.let... (PDF)



Michael Levin has a lot of new ideas.


I first thought the spinning was an optical illusion, like https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/how-our-b.... But in this case the spinning is real and you don’t see the rotation except in a small area (your fovea).


I think the difference now is that traditional software ultimately comes down to a long series of if/then statements (also the old AI's like Wolfram), whereas the new AI (mainly LLM's) have a fundamentally different approach.


Look into something like Prolog (~50 years old) to see how systems can be built from rules rather than it/else statements. It wasn't all imperative programming before LLMs.

If you mean that it all breaks down to if/else at some level then, yeah, but that goes for LLMs too. LLMs aren't the quantum leap people seem to think they are.


They are from the user POV. Not necessarily in a good way.

The whole point of algorithmic AI was that it was deterministic and - if the algorithm was correct - reliable.

I don't think anyone expected that soft/statistical linguistic/dimensional reasoning would be used as a substitute for hard logic.

It has its uses, but it's still a poor fit for many problems.


Yeah, the result is pretty cool. It's probably how it felt to eat pizza for the first time. People had been grinding grass seeds into flour, mixing with water and putting it on hot stones for millennia. Meanwhile others had been boiling fruits into pulp and figuring out how to make milk curdle in just the right way. Bring all of that together and, boom, you have the most popular food in the world.

We're still at the stage of eating pizza for the first time. It'll take a little while to remember that you can do other things with bread and wheat, or even other foods entirely.


maybe not on their own - but having enough computing power to use LLMs in a way we do now and actually using them is quite a leap.


You're talking about non-deterministic algorithms, who yes are often associated with AI but existed way before LLM's


I'm using the smaller models for things like searching and summarizing over a larger part of the codebase. The speed is really pleasant then.


Is there a distinction made between business customers and consumers? (B2B/B2C)


I think that's the exact issue here, it used to be B2C only but is now B2B


Your brain does not need to render any environments, just the experience of being in them.


Firstly it can render environments in detail. I'm (mostly) aphantasic even in dreams, so this wasn't obvious to me. But most people literally get visual renderings in their mind.

Secondly, it's fairly clear now that our sensory inputs are not being experienced as sensory inputs. We experience a reconstruction. Obvious basic sign of this is that we fill in the gap in vision where the optic nerve is. But generally, we're making an integrated world model all the time out of the senses, and are conscious of that world model.

You're right though, both the above are rendering the experience and can take shortcuts for that. It's sufficiently detailed in each case though that it kinda is rendering the world too, in some sense.


What do you think the difference is?


I guess I mean that we are awake experience the input from our senses, and that in a dream only the replication of the experience of seeing or hearing etc. is needed, not a replication of the input of the senses which then leads to the experience.


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