I think what will happen is what happened to something like 4K video decoding before where it ends up in silicon costing almost nothing to run extremely fast on device.
"Good enough" LLM functionality (for the use case) will be on-die or on-chip for cars, appliances, etc. This will provide speeds of chatjimmy at a battery-level power consumption.
Probably this will also happen for software engineering. Some usb-powered AI accelerator with Kimi K3 (and in future even better) performance running at 10K+ tokens/sec under 50W of power purchasable for almost no cost. Need a better model? Buy the new hardware. Old hardware is probably still fine for a lot of other use-cases. I expect China to be a big player here, it fits their open-model and hardware-manufacturing strategy.
Scaling a model on a chip is quite hard.
ChatJimmy is based on Llama 3.1 8 billion.
Kimi K3 has 2.8 trillion parameters.
That are 350x more parameters.
I would expect that Gemma 4 E2B (approx 5.1 billion parameters) or maybe even Gemma 4 26 billion A4B at some point is running on a chip.
Scaling is definetly hard - but there is no absolute requirement to put huge flagship models into this technology (although it might be possible over time).
A fairly dumb but FAST model has it's own totally distinct use-cases even if it can't be scaled in size. Think about a LLM-infused-Alexa where the response time is instant. Where you can request it looks at hotel options in Montreal, and it starts answering in half a second rather than a few minutes.
Plus some sort of slow smart + fast dumb combo architectures might also work really well for different classes of problems.
You can change the prompt, and give the agent tools, and that keeps the agent up to date.
The agent doesn't know the date, or know what hotels there are in Montreal, it sees:
> System: You are an AI agent. The date is 11th August 2026. Your knowledge cut-off is March 2023. User is based in <date>. If you need to search for something to support the user say {search:<term>} and a list of options will be provided along with instructions on how to access. Or say {help} for a full list of commands.
> User: Can you help me find hotels in Montreal for next weekend?
The AI then interacts with the tools given in the base prompt, which can obviously be updated. So it then goes:
> AI: Of course, let me search for that. {search: hotels in montreal for 16th August}
> System: [Provides list of websites]. Say {read[n]} to read option or say {start subagent:<goal>) to register subagent.
> AI: {start subagent: List hotels on booking.com available on 16th August}.
[etc etc, then eventually]
> AI: Yes I have searched for you and I found a few options!
While you can't change embedded knowledge, a good model knowing that the date is 5th January 2040 can infer certain things (e.g. while it might not have been trained on certain deaths, it can probably guess that it should search before answering if it means a person would be 102 and their last information is from 2024)
Yes, to update the blueprint for new models two layers will be updated. That is the NN.
To instead update the data on which to operate you could use a RAG to query.
(As in "the Pathfinder 2.0 NN is on the chip; the geodata is in the OpenGeoMaps dump-DB-nightly" - not really overlapping with LLM+RAG but may give an idea in a different scenario.)
I mean, it's pretty damn reliable now. Has been for simple high contrast Q&A for a while now.
I've just been doing research and experiments for work related stuff.
Typically we've used plain embeddings for a lot of high contrast documents aka discrete facts.
However I've been working with a >1000 page document of complex procedures with incredibly low contrast where embedding falls flat.
There's top down/graph searching, bottom up/embedded; alts like colbert, reranking, reasoning, search agents and now (though seemingly quite new) specific search agent models.
Ultimately I found that a reasoning enabled search agent doing a hybrid of bottom up (with reranking) followed by top down, gave the absolute best results. Paired with Luna for cheaper and faster tokens it benchmarks pretty well even for vague references to procedures.
I would imagine that search specific models just coming out are even better and I'll have to evaluate using these but for now the above works well for us.
Having an agent get vector search results to use as anchors and then being able to explore the sections and subsections above that, then eventually digesting as much as is relevant (big context, cheap tokens) is amazing.
Very interesting and very good (though, let us say, much more recent that ancient): only, it paradoxically does suggest that the computational cost (when compared either to a simple "search by vectors distance" or to the task failures that we can have witnessed by chief implementations*) strongly suggest the benefit of 1000x speed boosting, energy conservative Taalas board.
*(Of course it has "always" worked well for «simple high contrast Q&A», ever since the base embeddings technology worked properly: that is almost by definition; it is on real world use cases, where the nuances of reality are present, that it failed miserably.)
And outside of idiotic demos, who exactly is going to ask an LLM to look at hotels in Montreal for them? This usecase has never made sense to me in the slightest
In the slightest? The user goes to their computer and types in "Montreal hotels" and Google comes up with no shortage of results, including a bit from their LLM. So that's already happening, but how do you narrow down the results from that initial search? Click around on Expedia for an hour? You probably know what you care about, just tell the LLM that you have dogs or are a vegan or whatever instead of wasting a bunch of time doing it by hand yourself.
> who exactly is going to ask an LLM to look at hotels in Montreal for them
Anybody who has a specific informal query ("SELECT ... FROM ... WHERE has_carpark AND ... ORDER BY score(has_jacuzzi , walk_distance(...) ...) DESC") but does not want to research and cross the different scattered info himself (does not want to build the virtual DB himself).
I mean it was just an example, but I get AI to do things like this all the time... ChatGPT planned my latest work trip by looking through flights, hotels and pulled together 3 options of itineraries for me, and wrote an email I could send to my client with estimated costs etc.
It's quite telling that the 8B Taalas chip was already reticle-sized on TSMC N6. I mean, we're talking about a process that does ~100 MTr/mm², ROM needs about one transistor per bit, but can probably be packed more densely than general logic. Something like, say, 150 megabit/mm² is not a lot. N6 has a 850 mm² reticle limit. This roughly tracks, the article says the chip has 8B parameters and apparently spends about half the area on ROM. There's a reason AI accelerators just use a ton of silicon area (each HBM3 die is >1000mm² of silicon). I imagine this is not terribly viable unless they make it a lot more space efficient e.g. using MLC ROM if they don't already, or use stacked dies with a ROM-optimized process. And then we're back to not cheap, though reticle chips were never in the cheap area to begin with.
Taalas exploits the low cardinality to store one 4-bit weight with one transistor. (They are using metal layer traces for the ROM, and connecting an access transistor to light up one of 16 options.)
Their system is honestly very efficient for the weights, the problem is the KV-cache. That's why HC1 only supports such short context, they use SRAM for that and spend most of what's left of the die for it. The recent advancements that made attention more efficient are probably going to be very useful for them.
A full wafer like Cerebras is about 60x that, and N2P has about 3x the transistor density. So right now it's technically feasible to etch a 1.4 trillion parameter model. So roughly DeepSeek-V4-Pro class. Imagine that running a factory, for example.
Cerebras have special techniques to work around etching errors / bad cores on their wafers. This is possible since their wafers are effectively hundreds of identical copies of redundant cores. Can't do that for a globally unique model.
Etching failure in that situation would be like brain-damage in a human, all sorts of weird effects would start appearing.
There's several ways to engineer around that as the errors are detectable. There's a big literature on how to trade off speed or transistors for error correction. [1]
(Is Cerebras doing something novel? CPUs and memory blocks have been doing those things for a long time too, since the error rate is otherwise too high for normal size chips as well)
A few hundred bad bits/transistors in a trillion+ parameter model would compromise its abilities not one iota...the models are inherently lossy and resistant to "brain damage"...
Did you mean that each HBM3 stack is that large? Because it only takes one glance to see that the memory chips are much smaller than reticle-sized GPUs they sit next to.
I have found that for some personal prose-related projects, QWEN 3.6 35B A3B is an amazing model even quantized down to 4 bits. I actually find it's "writing" style as a GM for an LLM-powered solo text adventure game, better than even some of the faster/dummer frontier models like GPT-5.6-Luna or Haiku 4.5, and it runs (slowly) on a 3090 with a 80k context.
So I have faith in these embedded LLM chips when it comes to fun projects like that. I have not personally found my quantized QWEN good at agentic tasks, though, and it LOVES to make shit up when asking questions about documents in the prompt.
Now imagine you have a chip which is just that model, but can do it at absolutely insane speed. Like tens of thousands of documents a second.
Same for things like text-to-speech or speech-to-text. Think of the accessibility wins if subtitling becomes insanely accurate and fast and omnipresent.
There are all sorts of domains like that, and the trend has been such that smaller models are getting smarter and smarter. If you can stick them in parking meters, traffic lights / street crossings, mobility aids, etc etc I just see so much potential win.
Yes, it also opens up a faster recurring revenue model for hardware companies, faster model obsolescence than how often you change a computer, a server, or a GPU card. I hope they can figure out trillion-parameter models rapidly.
Nvidia happened to be the best option for AI after building machines for graphics, so it makes sense they weren't the best idea from scratch for this specific use case. Especially given the scale of the demand and the possibility of recurring revenue, I hope a lot of smart people will try to solve it, compete with each other, and deliver us extremely fast and cheap intelligence.
And one can say LLMs are not as smart as a human, but a lot of the reasoning humans do for product and service generation isn't smart at all—it's just a bit of fuzzy input/output plus some reasoning rules. And then if you hook a robot up to the LLM, you can get results in atoms instead of bits.
I'm very excited about the future. I also hope it will stop money from flowing to bureaucrats who are incentived to keep the problems open to keep the money flowing, and instead facilitate sharing directly with the people (for example, no money to the state to solve homelessness—instead, spay instead with intelligence output to build a house and provide food as part of taxes.)
Think bigger: A washing machine and dryer with an arm and a camera.
It can sort your dirty and clean clothes before washing and after drying, based on your preferences.
It defaults to common sense things like washing similar materials and weights, keeping delicates in their own load, grouping sensitive colors like red.
Not saying it's the superior way, but to be honest I wouldn't know how to start some washing machines without consulting manual first, having very dumb simple appliance myself.
I have seen smiling people talking to their connected car, replying with a dumb condescending bad-actor voice.
I had also seen Frankie Boyle in his parody of Knight Rider: "Michael, I am Kitt, your car, stop taking the medications, they want you to take them so you will be unable to talk to me"...
Imagine an energy efficient IC for a small multimodal model that can do voice to text, text to speech, question/answer, tool calling, and structured output.
Wire that up to a microcontroller that parses the structured output to constrain the model (rather than giving the model direct hardware access).
Now you have an assistive tech mode for supporting vision impaired users without requiring them to configure an app on their phone, pair devices, etc. And so now the user can just speak to the washing machine to tell it what to do.
And because models are getting better and better at multi-language support, you can rely on a single model to cover a wide range of spoken languages. And therefore you don't need a bunch of variants of this chip for a single product line.
TLDR this gives a path to replace "always online" and "wifi enabled" devices with fully on-device capabilities without being forced to abandon assistive technology support.
I don't think that the ability to record and transcribe people's words will encourage manufacturers to remove Wi-Fi functionality. If anything, that would encourage them to keep it. Imagine the marketing possibilities.
sure but once the capability is there it's not unlikely we'll see regulatory pressure from regions like the EU or certain US states to ban or heavily limit sale of "collect all your data" wifi enabled devices.
IMHO the only reason there's not been pushback from the EU already is because so much assistive tech is only possible with wireless connectivity currently. Once privacy conscious assistive tech is viable those crackdowns will probably be on the horizon even if only for the security risk associated with millions of internet connected devices with poor security posture.
I think this combined with a bit of memory and something like the “high-bandwidth flash” they just announced (if it works out), could be an interesting thing for some resident (burned) experts + active moe streamed from HBF.
I expect one day having small lower power demand drive sized devices with proprietary burned-in models that are quite fast running on-device in robotics and such. Commoditizing LLMs via burned and locked hardware seems likely when LLMs have stabilized (when we reach a year between releases again) and the hardware is capable and “disposable” enough. “Buy a robot and upgrade it forever* (5 years) with newer models (sold separately)”, at least until the planned hardware obsolescence that the “interface has changed to support newer hardware, so you’ll need to upgrade (again) to use the latest features”.
I like "good enough" LLMs for search and quick trivia. But "cars, appliances, etc" is exactly where LLMs are between noxious and dangerous.
My food processor could use a self-cleaning feature. It could only be made worse by some system that, IDK, changes the setting based on off-hand comments about "I don't know what his beef is.."
According to aljazeera's article, "the core investor would be a New York venture capital investment firm created by Joshua Kushner, the brother of US President Donald Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner."
> RDW said the EU sets stricter requirements for safety during vehicle approvals than the U.S. "This means that the FSD Supervised version in the U.S. is NOT comparable to the FSD Supervised version in the EU," it said, without providing further details.
The Netherlands has one of the highest road safety standards in the world. More info on differences between USA and NL on the site of RDW (Dutch)
My 75" Samsung The Frame (2024) uses 70w in 'art mode'. It has a motion sensor and you can configure to fully switch off after some timeout.
I see a lot of blocked requests in my OPNsense firewall (not sure what exactly) but I see that with almost all 'smart' devices (which I like to keep local).
Yea, SMS and phone apps are quite numerous. I don't think it's a problem, the subsystems all the apps use is open enough and not hard to build against.
Except for RCS, that's completely locked down and is pretty solidly becoming literally just Google. Fuck RCS.
Not just Google is the problem, the entire industry is the problem. Almost all of the cell-based standards are locked away and purely depend on the operators, major infrastructure companies like Motorola, Ericsson and Huawei and modem implementors like Qualcomm, Apple or Broadcom.
Implementing them independently is extremely difficult and even if you manage to do it you cannot have them commercially available due to radio regulation and patents. Even academic research can only be done with collaboration of those huge companies.
It is impossible to make a phone that is LTE capable completely independently (or even without nation state support). You cannot implement VoLTE or RCS without support from the carriers. They all have their own proprietary protocol on top of the standards.
Google has basically infinite money and their own patents and industry relationships and government support so they can figure out RCS. An indie company, even with infinitely motivated engineers and good funding do not have any of it.
For purely data, sure, that works. I have actually done it for multiple projects but for industrial purposes. It is slower than what a phone can achieve with an integrated baseband and SoC but would be good enough
For VoLTE, it is possible to get very basics with external modules but it is also very time and operator dependent. You need to have the profiles of each and every single operator you may support. If the phone would be globally available, this means thousands of profiles. Your module needs to be configurable after deployment. You still carry the risk of operator changing their profile or switching to a different encoding that your module doesn't support.
RCS is completely proprietary to the specific operator. There are currently no external modules that supports it, nor I beleive will be due to the complete proprietary nature. Google and Apple internally handle their pairing with the ones that support it.
On top of these two, you have actually a significantly bigger problem. The reason companies like Qualcomm integrate baseband chips with the main SoC die is the power efficiency. With external modules you will never reach an integrated circuit efficiency. Moreover you are sacrificing valuable battery space to the extenal module.
This is all true, and my phone (from the link) is not very energy efficient and doesn't support all mobile bands. But it exists and is usable.
Calls work for me, too.
> You still carry the risk of operator changing their profile or switching to a different encoding that your module doesn't support.
Got to say, I like the current Android versions.
In the early days I flashed my Motorola Defy every second month with some cool new ROM.
Always rooted and Xposed, always enabling something new.
Now I run a S23 Ultra and after two years it still does everything I need.
OneUI 8.0 and Android 16.
For work (app de) I also have a Pixel 7a, always with the newest Android Beta.
Also works well.
Even the entry level phones work OK to pretty good now.
My Samsung A16 5G (also for work) functions surprisingly well for 150€.
> Now I run a S23 Ultra and after two years it still does everything I need.
Maybe, but it is fully under Google and Samsung's control, and is choke full of spyware. You couldn't pay me to use a stock (Googled) Android phone for this reason alone.
Back when I used Android phones, tweaking was pretty important to me too. I still remember when I installed CyanogenMod on a Motorola XT1565, those were the days... Eventually, LineageOS, and then some new phones happened, not all of which were rootable, though I eventually ended up with a OnePlus 7 Pro which was pretty tweakable and even opened the possibility of bootloader re-locking, until a TWRP bug wiped my device and I pretty much stopped tweaking. Was never quite able to get EdXposed working right again...
How well is rooting supported on these newer Android versions/devices? If I install LineageOS on my device, for example, I can be reasonably sure that Magisk will work fine. But how well does it work on a stock, locked-down ROM?
Most devices doesn't have unlockable bootloaders now thus you can't even root them unless it was a popular device and a temporary /finicky hack was found.
I am asking out of curiosity and nothing else: what use cases do you have that motivate you to get a new phone every year? Do iPhones get notably better with every release? I'm guessing camera or storage would be big ones?
Well, with this last one they finally made the telephoto 48MP. Also, vapor chamber is nice. I don't know if the 18 will have enough for me to upgrade, and it might even have a reason for me not to upgrade (removing gestures from Camera Control). But so far it's been every year, because I've only been using iPhone for a couple years, and my first was a refurbished 15 Pro Max.
The 17 Pro (non-Max) only comes with up to 1TB of storage, but that's still more than my 15 of before.
I'm not parent but a counter perspective - the only three motivations I have are:
phone dies
camera vastly improves (imo it's been on a decline since the Nexus 6)
phone is too slow to use
I'm on year 5 of my Samsung s21u that I can replace the Samsung ux slop with asop ports
It is not for anyone but Apple, because they control the source code and full remote code execution access to your device at a higher privilege level than you as the supposed owner have.
Including custom ROM devs like the GrapheneOS team or the LineageOS team? That's a lot of trust you're putting in a company that only has their own profit at heart.
So you believe dictatorships are a good idea when it comes to technology control.
My question is then the same of anyone who prefer to give up freedoms to centralized seemingly benevolent dictators: What happens when you are told you can no longer do something you were previously allowed to do, that is only in the interest of the centralized power?
The linux ecosystem is a peaceful and effective system of anarchy with no central authority. Pretty much the exact opposite of the Apple dictatorship.
I am a Linux distro maintainer and my team and I do whatever we think is best in our distro, even including patches and defaults Torvalds did not approve of, because our goal is security first and his is compatibility first. That is what we mean when we say "free" in free open source software. Torvalds can do whatever he wants in his branch, and we can do whatever we want in ours, selectively taking the bits we want.
Want to modify the operating system on your iPhone? Want to use Tor globally for privacy? Want to use an external NFC/USB smartcard for secret management or authentication? Want to use a browser with an engine other than last gen crippled webkit? Good luck. Apple did not extend those freedoms to you.
You have no freedom on that device but to install binaries Apple blesses and use it the way they intend. Apple does not produce free software or give their users freedom over their devices because they want maximum profit and control.
After Trump's re-election, I figured that there's not much difference between using a cheap Android from Chinese OEM, or an iPhone. Both will give away my information if the totalitarian government (Chinese or American) requests so. I don't really have particular preference on whether it's the Chinese or Americans spying on me, so in the end it all boils down to price. Chinese Android devices deliver same level of performance and features as Apple for 1/4 of the price.
Of course if I really cared about privacy, I would just install GrapheneOS or LineageOS on supported Android device, so no Apple in that case either.
This is them trying to strangle Graphene and LineageOs. We desperately need an ecosystem where manufacturers are legally compelled to publish the source code for their drivers and similar so as to make it easier for alternative Oses to exist.
Android will soon become fully closed source. The writing is on the wall.
Plenty of drivers are proprietary. There are many ways of doing so, like much of it can exist in userspace, or in firmware, or using a shim in the kernel.
The model is openly distributed, enabling others to improve it. Currently there are numerous uncensored and improved versions of Deepseek r1 out there already.
This community effect of improving models is why in my opinion the best LLMs will soon all be open.
"Good enough" LLM functionality (for the use case) will be on-die or on-chip for cars, appliances, etc. This will provide speeds of chatjimmy at a battery-level power consumption.
Probably this will also happen for software engineering. Some usb-powered AI accelerator with Kimi K3 (and in future even better) performance running at 10K+ tokens/sec under 50W of power purchasable for almost no cost. Need a better model? Buy the new hardware. Old hardware is probably still fine for a lot of other use-cases. I expect China to be a big player here, it fits their open-model and hardware-manufacturing strategy.